Rocznik Ochrona Środowiska 2021, vol. 23, pp. 180-197


peopleAnna Młyńska1 This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.orcidpeopleTomasz Bergel2 orcidDariusz Młyński2 orcid

institution  1. Department of Water Supply, Sewerage and Environmental Monitoring, Cracow University of Technology, Poland
2. Department of Sanitary Engineering and Water Management, University of Agriculture in Cracow, Poland
mail author This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
doi1 https://doi.org/10.54740/ros.2021.012
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abstract 


Quarterly water consumption data collected in a small water supply system were used for elaboration of a new water consumption modeling approach. In this paper, multi-distribution statistical analysis was performed. As the Anderson-Darling test proved, at least a half out of the ten tested theoretical probability distributions can be used for description of the water consumption. The application of the PWRMSE criterion made it possible to determine, which of the tested theoretical distributions is the best-fitted to the empirical data set. In the case of total daily water consumption for the group of the households, it was Johnson distribution, whereas for the average daily water consumption per capita, it was GEV distribution. Based on the best-fitted probability distribution, a 25-year water consumption simulation with the Monte Carlo method was conducted. Because methodology of this study is based on the probability distributions, even if the type of theoretical distribution of the water consumption will change, it will be still possible to use this simulation method by assuming the other distribution.

 keywords


water supply system, water consumption, modeling, probability distribution

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AMA Style
Młyńska A, Bergel T, Młyński D. A New Approach to the Maximum Quarterly Water Consumption Modeling on the Example of Individual Water Consumers in a Small Water Supply System. Rocznik Ochrona Środowiska. 2021; 23. https://doi.org/10.54740/ros.2021.012

ACM Style
Młyńska, A., Bergel, T., Młyński, D. 2021. A New Approach to the Maximum Quarterly Water Consumption Modeling on the Example of Individual Water Consumers in a Small Water Supply System. Rocznik Ochrona Środowiska. 23. DOI:https://doi.org/10.54740/ros.2021.012

ACS Style
Młyńska, A.; Bergel, T.; Młyński, D. A New Approach to the Maximum Quarterly Water Consumption Modeling on the Example of Individual Water Consumers in a Small Water Supply System Rocznik Ochrona Środowiska 2021, 23, 180-197. https://doi.org/10.54740/ros.2021.012

APA Style
Młyńska, A., Bergel, T., Młyński, D. (2021). A New Approach to the Maximum Quarterly Water Consumption Modeling on the Example of Individual Water Consumers in a Small Water Supply System. Rocznik Ochrona Środowiska, 23, 180-197. https://doi.org/10.54740/ros.2021.012

ABNT Style
MŁYŃSKA, A.; BERGEL, T.; MŁYŃSKI, D. A New Approach to the Maximum Quarterly Water Consumption Modeling on the Example of Individual Water Consumers in a Small Water Supply System. Rocznik Ochrona Środowiska, v. 23, p. 180-197, 2021. https://doi.org/10.54740/ros.2021.012

Chicago Style
Młyńska, Anna, Bergel, Tomasz, Młyński, Dariusz. 2021. "A New Approach to the Maximum Quarterly Water Consumption Modeling on the Example of Individual Water Consumers in a Small Water Supply System". Rocznik Ochrona Środowiska 23, 180-197. https://doi.org/10.54740/ros.2021.012

Harvard Style
Młyńska, A., Bergel, T., Młyński, D. (2021) "A New Approach to the Maximum Quarterly Water Consumption Modeling on the Example of Individual Water Consumers in a Small Water Supply System", Rocznik Ochrona Środowiska, 23, pp. 180-197. doi:https://doi.org/10.54740/ros.2021.012

IEEE Style
A. Młyńska, T. Bergel, D. Młyński, "A New Approach to the Maximum Quarterly Water Consumption Modeling on the Example of Individual Water Consumers in a Small Water Supply System", RoczOchrSrod, vol 23, pp. 180-197. https://doi.org/10.54740/ros.2021.012